Week 13 Signals (March 24-28, 2025)

Market Overview

1. Market Volatility Amid Inflation and Fed Expectations

Markets experienced heightened volatility this week as investors digested mixed signals from central banks and economic data. The Federal Reserve’s stance on future rate cuts remained uncertain, with officials maintaining a data-dependent approach. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns added to market fluctuations.

2. Key Market Movers

• S&P 500 PullbackThe index hit 5,230 early in the week but retreated as Fed officials reinforced their data-dependent stance. The S&P 500 ended flat (+0.2%) for the week.

• Oil Prices Surge:WTI crude oil surged to $81.20 per barrel on OPEC+ supply cut expectations, adding inflationary pressure.

• Gold Hits Fresh High Before Pullback:Gold reached $2,220 per ounce midweek before dipping slightly as the U.S. dollar strengthened, ending the week up 1.7%.

• Tech Stocks Lead, but Sector Rotation Emerges:AI and semiconductor stocks continued to perform well, but profit-taking in mega-cap tech led to increased rotation into defensive sectors like healthcare and utilities.

• Core PCE inflation:(Fed’s preferred measure) rose 0.3% MoM, slightly above forecasts, keeping rate-cut bets cautious.

3. Price Movements

The U.S. stock market experienced fluctuations throughout the week. The Dow Jones lost 1.1%, the S&P 500 fall 1.7%, and the NASDAQ fall 2.5%. The dollar index (DXY) fluctuated with a slight loss of 0.1%.

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Peak Traders Group Signals

1. Weekly Peak Signals Performance

• Total trades : 36

• Number of ../../assets : 11 (including Forex, Futures and Crypto)

• Net profit/loss: 36 win / 1 loss

• Total Win (All Pairs): 2,640 Pips

This week, Peak Traders Group achieved 2,640 Pips and 4,160 Pips in total profit, maintaining a 97.2% win rate across 36 trades. Top performers included BTCUSD , Dow Jones, and Nasdaq. Daily results ranged from 130 Pips to 790 Pips, highlighting consistent gains. Indices are holding their grounds, searching for new gains in the following weeks. A strong week of solid, consistent performance from all signals!

2. Daily Signal Snapshots!

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3. Next Week's Key Economic Events

• March Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP):A strong jobs report could reinforce the Fed’s cautious stance on rate cuts, while a weaker-than-expected reading may boost expectations for easing later this year.

• ISM Manufacturing PMI:This data will provide insight into economic growth, with a higher reading signaling resilience in the industrial sector and a lower reading potentially fueling recession concerns.

• FOMC:Investors will analyze the minutes for clues on policymakers' rate-cut timeline, inflation concerns, and overall economic outlook, which could influence market volatility.