Week 11 Signals (March 10-14, 2025)

Market Overview

1. Correction territory

The financial markets experienced notable volatility over the past week, with the S&P 500 entering correction territory alongside the NASDAQ. Investor sentiment fluctuated amid economic data releases, geopolitical concerns, and Federal Reserve expectations.

2. Key Market Movers

• S&P 500 Correction: The index dropped 10% from its record high before rebounding 2.1% on Friday, ultimately closing the week down 2.2%.

• Inflation Data: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed core inflation at 3.1% in February, cooling from 3.3% in January, signaling possible monetary policy adjustments.

• Gold Rally: Gold hit a record high, surpassing $3,000 per ounce, while silver surged above $34 per ounce.

• Small-Cap Struggles: The Russell 2000 Index fell over 16% from its November 2024 peak, nearing bear market territory.

• Consumer Sentiment Decline: The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment index dropped from 64.7 to 57.9, the lowest since November 2022.

• Federal Reserve Meeting Ahead: Markets anticipate no change in interest rates, but investors await updated economic projections and Chair Powell’s guidance.

3. Price Movements

The U.S. stock market saw broad declines this week, with the Dow Jones (-3.0%), S&P 500 (-2.2%), and NASDAQ (-2.4%) all closing lower. Year-to-date, the NASDAQ remains the weakest performer (-7.9%), while international markets, as measured by MSCI EAFE (+9.5%), continue to show strength. Sector-wise, Energy (+2.6%) and Utilities (+2.0%) outperformed, while Consumer Staples (-4.2%) and Consumer Discretionary (-3.6%) struggled.

In fixed income, the U.S. 10-Year Treasury yield declined to 4.32%, while gold surged to record highs, up 13.4% YTD. Despite a slight gain this week, WTI crude remains down 4.6% YTD.

Peak Traders Group Signals

1. Weekly Peak Signals Performance

• Total trades : 41

• Number of ../../assets : 11 (including Forex, Futures and Crypto)

• Net profit/loss: 41 win / 0 loss

• Total Win (All Pairs): 1,920 Pips

This week, Peak Traders Group achieved 1,920 Pips and 2,920 Pips in total profit, maintaining a 100% win rate across 41 trades. Top performers included BTCUSD (1,500 points), US100 (250 points), and XAUUSD (160 points). Daily results ranged from 130 Pips to 820 Pips, highlighting consistent gains. BTCUSD was a standout, contributing significantly to the week’s profits. A strong week of solid, consistent performance from all signals!

2. Daily Signal Snapshots!

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3. Next Week's Key Economic Events

• Federal Reserve Policy:The central bank’s outlook on inflation and rate adjustments will heavily influence market trends.

• Corporate Earnings:The next round of earnings reports will provide insight into economic resilience.

• Geopolitical & Trade Risks:Ongoing tariff discussions and global economic uncertainty may drive volatility.