Week 10 Signals (March 3-7, 2025)

Market Overview

1. Shifting Tides in Growth and Market Sentiment

As we step further into 2025, signs of economic deceleration are emerging, prompting investors to reassess their strategies. The Atlanta Fed now forecasts a sharp decline in Q1 GDP growth, dropping to -2.4% from an earlier estimate of 3.9%, as businesses ramp up imports ahead of potential trade tariffs. Meanwhile, corporate earnings are feeling the pressure, with S&P 500 growth expectations trimming down to 7.3% from the previous 11.5%.

2. FED Interest Rates

Despite this slowdown, the U.S. economy entered the year on solid footing, reducing the likelihood of an immediate recession. However, the Federal Reserve remains in the spotlight, with markets now pricing in up to three rate cuts in 2025—an outlook that hinges on labor market conditions and inflation trends.

3. Price Movements

In response to this shifting landscape, market leadership has rotated, with defensive sectors like healthcare and consumer staples outperforming, while technology stocks take a breather.

Bond markets have provided a cushion, as Treasury yields continue to decline, reflecting investor anticipation of potential Fed easing. This evolving environment underscores the value of diversification, as market strength extends beyond the usual tech-driven rally.

Peak Traders Group Signals

1. Weekly Peak Signals Performance

• Total trades: 41

• Number of assets: 11 (including Forex, Futures and Crypto)

• Net profit/loss: 41 win / 0 loss

• Total Win (All Pairs): 4,760 Pips

This week, Peak Traders Group achieved 4,760 Pips and 7,040 Pips in total profit, maintaining a 100% win rate across 41 trades. Top performers included BTCUSD (1,500 points), US100 (250 points), and XAUUSD (160 points). Daily results ranged from 340 Pips to 940 Pips, highlighting consistent gains. BTCUSD was a standout, contributing significantly to the week’s profits. A strong week of solid, consistent performance from all signals!

2. Personal Profits from Our Signals!

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3. Next Week's Key Economic Events

• Inflation Reports: U.S. CPI and PPI data will be released on March 12 and 13, providing crucial insights into inflation trends.

• Retail Earnings: Reports from major retailers like Dick's Sporting Goods and Ulta Beauty could influence market sentiment, revealing consumer spending patterns.

• ECB Meeting: On March 13, the European Central Bank's interest rate decision will be closely watched for signals on the eurozone's economic outlook.

• Global Forums: Conferences like South By Southwest and CERA Energy Week could spark movement in the tech and energy sectors.